From a new NBER paper, "TEMPERATURE AND INCOME:
RECONCILING NEW CROSS-SECTIONAL AND PANEL ESTIMATES":
This paper provides new evidence on the relationship between temperature and income.
Using sub-national data from 12 countries in the Americas, we show that the negative cross-
sectional relationship between temperature and income exists within countries, as well as across
countries. We then provide a theoretical framework for reconciling the substantial, negative
association between temperature and income in cross-section with the even stronger short-run
effects of temperature shown in panel models. The theoretical framework suggests that half of
the negative short-term effects of temperature are offset in the long run through adaptation.
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